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Effective Breakout Trading Strategy for Beginners

Effective Breakout Trading Strategy for Beginners

It will come to a point when the market will break out through previous support or resistance, and that can often signal the start of a new trend.

If a market really starts moving, then clearly it’s going to break through a level.

resistance breakout

As you can see in the first picture, we’ve got resistance there. The market rallies up, market sentiment shifts. Sellers come back in and push the price down. Breakout is when it’s approaching it again, we’re expecting it to run out of steam but it doesn’t. This is a breakout to the upside.

Market breaks

And of course, If we add a line beneath that breakout, we will have a breakout to the downside. So traditionally, it’s a sign that sentiment has changed. And in this example, the normal expectation would be for the market to move higher. They can be difficult to trade because you get false breakouts. But there are a couple of different ways of trading this.

1. Go for It

One way is that when the market breaks the level, in this example we just buy, of course, if it was breaking to the downside we would be a seller. So we’re jumping in straight away. If that level is 100, let’s say the market trades to 102, which is going to buy in and hope the market is going to move higher when it comes to stops.

market pulls back

This is where it can be difficult. Breakouts tend not to be very clean and suddenly the market just zooms up nice and easily. There will be an element of the market shopping around. So I think it’s an idea to have our stop somewhere back in the breakout zone.

2. Be Patient

Maybe an easier way of placing stocks is to be a bit more patient. So the market breaks out rather than buying straightaway. Perhaps one approach is to wait to see what happens next. If the market maybe pulls back a little bit, then shows some strength and starts to move. We have maybe an obvious area to have a tighter stop. We’ve seen the market break out. It’s been a bit of selling to push it back, but the markets run it again. So, maybe buying like you can see in the previous picture with a tight stop.

And there is an approach that some traders may prefer. The downside, of course, is if the market breaks out and takes off and doesn’t pull back, then you miss out on the move. But they can be a bit tricky to trade because it doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to be a clean break. So let’s look at a few examples and the different ways that maybe we can try to profit.

Here’s a short-term example on a foreign exchange pair euro-dollar zero spreads that you can see on the picture. So this is the end of October through to the first week in November. And we’ve seen the euro slid heavily as rallied, but it really can’t get through 1,1691.

foreign exchange pair euro-dollar

If the market breaks through 1,1690, well, maybe you set an order at 1,17 and you want to be a buyer. So you can see on the picture that this was a problem back on the 2nd November, 3rd November and again comes back up to it on the 10th of November. The market really doesn’t want to rally up through 1,17.

The Market doesn't want to rally up through 1,17

But if we look at the 14th of November, so 7 to 8 o’clock in the morning UK time, we do see that level break.

Level break

So if we’re just buying the breakout, an aggressive strategy would be a buy now and maybe we put our stop-loss under the most recent lows. The lows that were set during the early hours in the morning may be down around about 1,1655, that sort of area. But either way, the breakout is the signal to buy in this example. So we’re in straight away.

Just on the break-in this example, it went well. There’s our break as you can see on the picture.

Almost a straight lineThe market doesn’t really look back. And in fairly short order, it’s 150 points higher. So it moved almost in a straight line. If we were trading our stop-loss up, we would have caught a chunk of the move. But as a good example, I think where just buying that breakouts right away, big level. And the market did really rally and it would have been a profitable trade. But sticking with this same euro-dollar chart, for now, I thought it’s important to highlight an example where it didn’t work.

You know, we had the lows from back here. 27th of October lows around about 1,1570. The market breaks below those on the 7th of November. So, If we just sold the breakout there with the stop-loss, we didn’t get any follow-through ended up being a false break and we would have been stopped there. So this does highlight, why it’s always important to have some sort of risk control in place, some stop If it doesn’t work out.

breakout with the stop-loss

Now for longer-term breakouts, it would be interesting to look at the daily chart of an individual share. On this picture, you can see Facebook shares, just to see really how the breakouts have performed. So, September 2016 rallies out to about a $133 a share. Rallies back there again in October 2016.

Rallies and a breakout

And it’s not until the next year set to February 2017 that we finally get the break, and the break of this is a big level. This big barrier did signal the next rally higher and we didn’t get much of a pullback. But look at the picture what happens in April. It does get a bit messy. And we’ve got that level at 154. The market sort of pokes through during the day, but keeps giving it up, then pokes through again.

The market going up and down

So if you’re a bull on the break out there, we would have had to stand quite a big move against it. The logical place for stop-losses was probably below those old lows. So it’s not as clear cut that you’re guaranteed to make money on a breakout because you do get false breakouts and you do get quite a bit of choppy trading.

We have these old highs for Facebook from July 2017, around about 1,75. And towards the end of October, we’ve seen the level break.

Level break

Plenty of people are broken out and pulled back, so now we’re seeing a bit more strength. And maybe one idea for a stop-loss is underneath that low from the end of October. So somewhere below 1,67.

But hopefully, you can see just because a market breaks out doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to carry on straight away in that direction. But it can be a good sign, the sentiment is shifting. We’re looking to sell a breakout to the downside, but we’re going to be patient.

So, as you can see in the picture, that is the short term chart of the German stock market index from the beginning of November. And this is an hourly candlestick. So the market gapped higher left a lower 13300, came back down to a 7th in November. And it holds and then it breaks. Now, if we are being patient, we’d be looking to sell short. But maybe we want to see a bit of a bounce back to get a better price to sell short and have a better place to set our stop.

Breakout

If we’d been waiting here, we never really got it, because the markets sold off so heavily. 13300 was the level and it traded down a good couple 100 points over the next six hours or so.

The market traded downSo we would have missed out if we were waiting for a better opportunity there. But it has given us, I think, another level if we’re looking at short-term breakouts. Let’s pick up on these lows and think about selling short if those lows are broken.

So we’re watching 13104, the break. We’re not going to set it straight away. We want to see it break, then rally, run out of steam, then sell short.

What happens? So once again, when the level breaks, we see a really sharp sell-off and the market drops, what, 150 points, but it does bounce back, runs out of steam. Near the breakout point. So, again, as you can see this could be an opportunity now where we’ve been a bit more patient selling short, maybe putting a stop-loss up above these highs here.

Stop-loss

As you can see on the next picture, the rally back to the breakout point ends up failing again. So if we were going short-13018, the market does sell off even deeper down towards 12860 area. So there is an example where we have missed the breakout here because the market never really pulled back. But a bit of patience there, we got a better entry, maybe a logical point for the stop and ended up being a pretty good trade in the end.

Missed breakout

That is a good example because we have missed our first of all on that big move by being maybe too patient. But we did call the second move. Good entry, good stop and a nice move afterward. So breakouts, they don’t work all the time like everything else, there is no holy grail some magic system.

But they can be an easy way of spotting when a potential new trend is starting. And if you’re a little bit patient, giving you a good balance of risk versus reward, where it comes to where you place your stop and what your target’s going to be.

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Strategies

Automated Trading Software

How to Find a Trading Job

The complexity and amount of data in financial markets means
that we are inevitably turning to computers to do a better job. Automated
trading, isn’t new. It has been around for several decades.
What is new is the rapid evolution of these algorithms as well as their
widespread use. Recent studies estimate that over 80% of all trading in the forex
market is software driven.

What they do

First it helps to understand what automated trading is and
what it isn’t. Many of us already use some form of algorithms in trading. These
are the chart studies otherwise known as indicators that most of us use on
popular platforms like TradingView.

These types of charting tools use software to process
underlying price information, sometimes aggregating it with other data like
volumes, to create a useful signal for the trader. That signal might be an
overbought flag which suggests a selling opportunity or an oversold flag that
could represent a buying opportunity.

Some of the most frequently used chart studies include the
moving average lines, stochastic oscillators, relative strength index (RSI), Fibonacci,
Ichimoku and MACD. There are also many variants of these.

These are the most basic types of trading algorithm. Not
surprisingly, computerized trading gets a lot more advanced than this.

A basic trading robot reads the outputs of indicators and
other data feeds and generates automatic buy or sell orders that are entered
into the market via a connection to the broker. This takes the evolution of the
indicator one step further.

A trading robot does not need a human to operate at all. It
can run as an automaton, just obeying the trading rules it’s programmed with.

More advanced trading bots take this a stage further. These
may use advanced pattern matching techniques and more specific rules that
can adapt better to changing markets. Some even aggregate information from different
sources like news feeds, indicator sets, and from multiple markets to improve
their accuracy.

forex trading software

Advantages and disadvantages of automation

Those who intend to use trading software should consider the
pros and cons of each approach. They also should understand that any kind
of trading involves the risk of financial loss.

Pros

  • Trading software is non-emotional
  • It will obey trading rules and money management accurately
  • It can be backtested on historical price charts
  • It is hands-off just requiring monitoring
  • It won’t get distracted or deviate from the strategy

There are drawbacks to software as well.

Cons

  • Trading software can be expensive to develop and maintain
  • It needs dedicated computer hardware
  • It can be unpredictable
  • The code can contain bugs

Solutions

So what are the solutions if you want to go ahead and use
trading software? There are a number of off-the shelf packages that are advertised
on websites like Metaquotes.

Their marketplace lists hundreds of trading expert advisors
and indicators. These tools can be created by anyone and sold or rented for a certain
fee.

The source code is locked so you will not know how the
system works besides the general description that the seller gives you on their
listing page. Because this is an open
market, with anyone being able to sell, the quality of these systems does vary somewhat.
The better-rated tools can be expensive.

For those who are already skilled in software development,
there is always the possibility to create your own system. Most trading
platforms have their own scripting language that allows you to programmatically
interact with price data and automate account functions like placing orders.

For non-programmers, there are platforms like Tradoso. This platform has a graphical tool
that lets you create an automated strategy, bypassing the coding stage altogether.
You can use indicators as building blocks and pull various inputs and feeds
together. It lets you backtest your system so that it can be refined and
improved upon.

Risks

All trading carries risk. Automated trading is no different. An automated agent is only as good as the rules it’s programmed with. That’s why it is important to know the rules
that your system is following, and the range of possible outcomes.

Trading with a black box piece of software will carry high risk because you can never be certain what rules that system is following. Creating your own system is the only way around this.

In this way, tools like Tradoso and others that automate the whole development process are likely to become more prevalent in the future.

While coding will always be important, the sophistication of algorithms out there makes it increasingly hard for the part-time-coder
to compete on the same level.

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Strategies

Forex Scams – How to Avoid Them

Forex trading

Scammers try to imitate the approach of legitimate investment firms and sales representatives. Thus, the fact that someone can contact you in a specific way – by phone, mail, email or even referral should not in themselves be seen as an indication that the investment is or is not shady. Many reputable companies use exactly the same methods to identify individuals who may be interested in their investment products and services in an effective and economical manner. Keeping in mind that “investigating before you invest” is good advice regardless of how to contact you, Forex Scams are here to help you in this regard… there are many ways that scammers use to scam but we will tell you how they do that, so you can be aware of 

Telephone boiler room telephones remains a favorite way for scammers and their sales squads to quickly communicate with large numbers of potential investors. Even if a scammer has to make 100 or 200 phone calls to find a mooch (one of the terms scammers use for their victims), they believe that the opportunity to save thousands of dollars from someone’s savings is still a good pay for the time and cost involved. 

Mail Some fraudulent investment deal sellers buy mailing lists in good faith – names and addresses of people who, for example, subscribe to a particular investment-related publication, who have responded to previous direct mail offers or who have other features scammers look for. In the hope of avoiding notification by postal authorities, mail order scammers cannot make a direct or immediate launch for their money. Rather, they often seek to entice you to write or phone for more information. Then comes a call from the seller or the person closing the deal. Some may call even if they did not reply to the email. 

The Rising Popularity of Binary Options in Nigeria

Forex Scams on The Internet 

Internet access has increased dramatically in recent years, and consumers have become more comfortable doing business. (Shopping, banking, or investing) online, but crooks are aware of the potential of cyberspace. The same scams that are conducted by mail or phone can be found on the internet and new technology creates new ways to commit crimes against consumers. 

Advertisement Advertisements in newspapers or magazines may offer profitable opportunities. (Or at least with implications) that are more interesting than general investments Once you have taken the victim, the scammers will try to “hang up”. Although investors know that the regulatory agencies regularly check advertisements in major publications, there are some who use famous publications. Said in the hope that it could be hit and run before the other detectives appeared. Advertisements in the narrowly spreading print media, they think regulators may be less likely to see. 

Referrals 

One of the oldest plans involves paying fast, big profits to initial investors. (Indeed, from their own investments or those of other people) knowing that they tend to recommend investments to their friends and these friends will tell their friends soon. Scammers do not want to find victims. New ones anymore They will meet him. 

The “Reputable” Business 

Some scammers go to the first floor. Take profit from scams. Previously, they rented a luxurious office, hired an interior decorator and professional receptionist, sounding and opening things that were similar. (But not the truth) of a reputable investment company, You may have to call to make an appointment and when you don’t have to wait. (Which is intended to make you more enthusiastic). The success of this type of scam depends on how long he can prevent his victims from knowing that they have been cheated. Investors are confident that their big profits will be reinvested to receive even greater profits. Such swindlers may join local civic groups, participate in charities, and generally play stable citizenship. There are some best forex brokers in the market, which forex scams will let you know about that, stay tuned with us to check it before investing your hard money into them. 

forex quotes

Techniques for Using Forex Trading Scammers 

Their techniques vary according to how they communicate. However, what they have in common is their ability to persuade. The skills that make them successful are the same skills that help salespeople succeed. But con artists have an advantage in their decisions: they don’t have to fulfill their promises. In the absence of this responsibility, they do not hesitate to make any promises that will persuade you to divide your money. Here are some techniques to figure out the forex scam in the market, please see below: 

Expectation of Large Profits 

The money flying through the air, the profits that con artists speak of, are big enough to make you interested and eager to invest. But not too big to make you believe it Or he might mention the profit numbers he thinks you will consider credible, and then in further temptations suggest that the actual profit is even greater. Of course, the latter numbers are something that he hopes you will focus on. In general, if an investment proposal sounds too good to be true, it is possible. 

Low risk Some people are clear that it suggests that there is no risk – investment is a sure-fire source. Clearly, the last thing a scam wants you to think of is the possibility of wasting money. (If you ask how you can be sure that your money is safe, you can trust that the answer is trustworthy. He also believes that you believe what you want to believe) to make him confident. Con artists may admit that there may be a risk – then reassure you that you will definitely get the least profit. Con men may become impatient or aggressive if they have questions about the risk – perhaps suggesting they have. Better things to do waste time with people who lack courage and farsightedness in making money! With this, he hopes that you will not bring this story back. 

Urgency 

There are generally interesting reasons why it’s necessary for you to invest now. It may be because the investment opportunity can be “offered only to a limited number of people” or because the delay in investment can mean missing a big profit (after all, when the information they have told you becomes generally known, the price will Higher, right? Urgent is important for con artists. He wants your money as quickly as possible, with the least effort on his part, and he doesn’t want you to have time to think about it, talk to someone who may suggest you to wonder or check out his or her proposal. With regulatory agencies. In addition, he may not plan to stay in the city for very long. 

Confidence 

The scam is confident in the money you make, so you are confident enough to release your savings. Their message is that they are doing your favorite things by offering investment opportunities. Con artists may intimidate (Happily or something else) to end the conversation by suggesting that if you don’t really care, there are many others that will When you protest that you are interested, he will keep your savings in his pocket. Even if you can’t see a man the way he speaks But most people are determined, clear, and determined people who will control the conversation. The more you talk, the less likely you are to ask questions.

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Strategies

Know all about PIPs in Forex Trading

A Lot Size Which Is Too Big or Too Small

What is a PIP?

PIP is one of the basic terminologies in forex trading. You can’t start your trading journey without knowing about pips.

In this guide, we are going to tell you what a PIP is in Forex and how they are calculated.

All about Pips

A pip or “percentage in point” is the smallest possible movement of the price of a currency pair. 

Suppose, the EUR/USD pair has changed from 1.2334 to 1.2335, this means that the pair’s quotes have changed by one pip. 

As a rule, in the forex market, the name “point” is more common, although point and pip have the same meaning. But on the stock market, these concepts are different; their pip is one cent, and a point is one dollar.

Usually, 1 forex pip is equal to 0.0001 parts of one unit of the base currency but since each currency has its own value, then the price of a pip is not a fixed value but a variable, depending on the chosen currency pair.

Suppose, if we take the same currency pair EUR/USD, then we will see that the first currency in this pair is the Euro. This means that the Euro is the base currency, which we buy for US Dollars so that 1 pip will be measured in dollars.

Currency quotes change by a certain number of points, therefore, the forex trader’s profit changes first in pips, and then it is converted into a monetary equivalent. 

Giving up in FT

What determines the cost of pip?

As you know, each currency pair has its own monetary value of pips. It depends on:

  • a currency pair that is being traded;
  • lot (volume) by which it is open;
  • the exchange rate that applies to the currency transaction.

How to calculate your profits using pips? 

Suppose you decide to make a purchase of one lot for a pair of EUR/USD. One lot (the standard unit of forex trading) is equal to 100,000 units of the base currency. In this case, the volume of your transaction will be 100,000 euros. 

Since the cost of a point = 0.0001 parts of the lot, then 1 pip will be equal to: “100 thousand euros multiplied by 0.0001”, that is, $10. If the currency quotation changes by 1 pip in the direction you traded, you will earn $10, if, by 100 pips, your profit will make $1,000. 

Tools for calculating pips

To avoid calculating the value of potential profit or loss in your mind (or on a piece of paper) every time you open a transaction, we recommend that newcomers use the pip calculator.

Almost every broker has a pip calculator now. So, it shouldn’t be a problem. 

The concept of pipsing

The concept of “pipsing” in Forex Trading is a trading strategy that enables a market participant to make a profit on short positions, usually from 1 to 5 points. 

Many professionals use pipsing several times daily, which makes it possible to get good profits with the least risk.

Conclusion

It is very important to gather information on basic Forex trading terms like “pips”, because a small change in pips can make you win or lose. You must need to educate yourself with all the basics of Forex Trading before you start your Trading. A regular Forex trader needs to spend at least 1 hour daily to read all the technical aspects of Forex Trading, and to practically apply them in the real trading step by step. The more good knowledge you have, the more cautiously you can trade. We wish you best of luck in your Trading!


Sources and references of the Content: Some of the facts and hints have been taken from Wikipedia Percentage in point and FXCC’s article What is a Pip in Forex

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